How are airline routes designed?

  • Jul 16, 2024
How are airline routes designed?

This paper aims to evaluate the process of developing airline routes, including;

Airline routes are the flight connections that passengers make when they travel between airports. This process of designing these routes is not easy and involves consideration of various factors to be able to supply the demand of customers while at the same time being financially sustainable for airlines.

Defining the Market

One of the key strategic considerations for planning an airline route is the availability of potential markets. Airlines look into the passenger traffic flow and passenger demographics to identify city pairs that would attract enough passengers to warrant a certain flight. Airline interest is usually sparked by attractive business travel markets and heavily visited leisure destinations. Airlines must also determine competing carriers that operate within the respective markets. Once an airline sets up a route where other airlines already offer flights means sharing the revenue opportunities.

New nonstop services from an airline's focus city to unserved markets are usually the major areas that airlines target in their expansion strategies rather than engaging in already saturated competitive markets. Another growth strategy is choosing the connections that pass through the hub of an airline company, The connecting flights are usually incorporated as a means of increasing the size of the circle that can be covered in a single flight. Through connecting flights, the hub makes it possible to offer a broad market of city-pair markets at an economical level.

Route Profitability Analysis

Once airlines identify possible routes, then they proceed to conduct a detailed financial assessment. To decide the profitability of the proposed route, one has to predict the revenues and costs that are expected in the future as shown below. Passenger traffic is predicted by airlines to forecast ticket revenue while yield or average fare paid per passenger is used to estimate the revenue. Consumption patterns; historical travel patterns; median household income; population; and other demographic information form the basis of demand. Whenever possible airlines look for higher-yield business travel sectors. Other costs such as the airport charges, fuel, and flight crew are also taken into account.

For approval, a route must sustain a steady number of passengers and their revenues every month to be more than the costs of operating the route. If flights that run at almost full capacity during specific months of the year are priced to offer 12-month routes, then the route will be unprofitable. When the forecasts are below the profit levels that have been deemed desirable, the airlines might suggest that changes to the specifics of the route be made to rectify the situation. This is well illustrated by factors such as changing the number of flights, the size of the planes, and the time of day the flight departs.

Operational Considerations

Beyond basic economics, airlines assess other key operational factors when designing routes such as:

Airport Capabilities Aircraft used must be able to meet planned nonstop distances taking into consideration powerful headwinds and international rules on required reserve fuel and route alternate airports. Other factors that could be restricted may include the load due to the short length of runways in some airports.

Facilities Airports under consideration must have proper infrastructure such as enough runway space for specified destinations, gates, customs, fuel, and passenger amenities. The use of large jets may call for some enhancement of the physical infrastructure at some small community airports.

Air Traffic Control This involves consulting with the Airlines and the government authorities on how to incorporate the new flight timings and routes into the traffic pattern without creating chaos. New flights should not overstretch existing facilities in hubs and airspace segments of high traffic. And only if necessary some changes or additions may be made to make it easier to follow a certain flow.

Fleet and Crew Planning Integration of flight means that the company's fleet rotation, aircraft maintenance plan, and crew rostering are affected. New routes provide insight into how existing and new strategic plans fit into the larger company operations by evaluating how they fit into the overall network. More aircraft and crews may need to be acquired before having more planes in the fleet.

Competitive Analysis

Another factor considered by airlines in the establishment of routes is competitive response. Major carriers monitor rivals' moves closely and react to new market entries using various tactics: Major carriers monitor rivals' moves closely and react to new market entries using various tactics:

  • Frequency Parity This is a common strategy adopted by incumbent carriers to match the frequencies of entrant carriers to diminish the market share of the competitors. Higher combined options aim at meeting more customers' travel needs.
  • Pricing strategies: Incumbents may decide to selectively price undercut on specific flights in the contested routes, to maintain control. It is always better to lose some volume to reduce the volumes of rivals than to lose large market shares to entrants.
  • Scheduling Flights to Depart Near Competitors Airlines can ideally time their flights to take off shortly after competitors have entered the same airports to facilitate transfer opportunities for the passengers. Nearby timings involve traffic targeting as opposed to distributing the different flight options throughout the day.

These dynamics where carriers jostle for a superior position seek to serve the interests of the consumers through improved services, more routes, and attractive fares in the overlapping markets.

Ongoing Route Reviews

KAD: After the unveiling of routes, the airline will keenly observe the performance information. Some routes may not achieve the anticipated operational economic objectives set down at the beginning. Other environmental factors that alter over time also exert a significant influence in diminishing travel demand. Airlines faced with lagging routes take corrective actions if improvements do not materialize quickly: Airlines faced with lagging routes take corrective actions if improvements do not materialize quickly:

  • Decreasing Flight Frequency Removing specific weekly flights allows better matching market demands for certain destinations to improve percentages of plane overcrowding.
  • Replacing Aircraft with Smaller JetsOperations on certain routes with large aircraft that are not meeting the required demand are swapped with jets that have fewer seats to carry to make the operation cost-efficient. Regional jets are generally used to replace large narrow-bodied aircraft.
  • The following is the final strategy that an airline can take if other solutions do not work as expected in improving the performance of an underperforming route: * Terminating the unprofitable route completely.

The ability to constantly review and consider route design factors helps airlines maintain successful, lucrative, and effective route networks that are critical for meeting the demand for transportation services and economic development around the world. The analyses that are carried out are in many directions and thus make the act of designing a single new airline route a very delicate exercise.

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